Normal view MARC view ISBD view

Posner, Kenneth A.

Stalking the black swan research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / [electronic resource] : Kenneth A. Posner. - New York : Columbia Business School Publishing, c2010. - xv, 267 p. : ill.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment.


Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, MI : ProQuest, 2015. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest affiliated libraries.

ISBN:

LCCN:

Nat. Bib. No.: GBA9A1648 bnb

Nat. Bib. Agency Control No.: Uk

Subjects--Topical Terms:
Investment analysis.
Investments--Forecasting.
Business cycles.
Recessions.

Index Terms--Genre/Form:
Electronic books.

LC Class. No.: HG4529 / .P67 2010

Dewey Class. No.: 332.63/2042